FiveThirtyEight Reports: Trump Takes the Lead

A 538.com election forecast chart showing win probabilities for Trump and Harris, with the red line for Trump at 51% and the blue line for Harris at 49%, indicating a very close race. The chart is labeled 'Win probability' and spans from August to November, with the 538 logo and ABC News branding visible. The text labels 'Trump 51 times out of 100' and 'Harris 49 times out of 100' are overlaid on the graph near the end of the timeline.

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